Probability Distribution Mean (Expectation), Variance :: Problems

Problem Back to Problems Page
 
A bakery has the following schedule of daily demand for cakes.
No. of cakes demanded
(in hundreds)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Probability 0.02 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.10 0.01 0.01
Find the expected number of cakes demanded per day

Net Answers :
[Expectation: 436; Variance: 3.5304 ; Standard Deviation : +1.879]

Solution  
 

Let "x" represent the number of cakes demanded (in hundreds) per day.

The values carried by "x" are 0, 1, 2, ... ,9 ==> "x" is finite.

Sum of the probabilities of the various values of "x"

= 0.02 + 0.07 + 0.09 + 0.12 + 0.20 + 0.20 + 0.18 + 0.10 + 0.01 + 0.01
= 1

The values of "x" represent the values in the range of a discrete random variable
⇒ "X" is a discrete random variable with range = {0, 1, 2, ... .9}

The given distribution therefore, represents a discrete probability distribution of "X"

Calculations for Mean and Standard Deviations

x P (X = x) px
[x × P (X = x)]
x2 px2
[x2 × P (X = x)]
0 0.02 0 0 0
1 0.07 0.07 1 0.07
2 0.09 0.18 4 0.36
3 0.12 0.36 9 1.08
4 0.20 0.80 16 3.20
5 0.20 1.00 25 5.00
6 0.18 1.08 36 6.48
7 0.10 0.70 49 4.90
8 0.01 0.08 64 0.64
9 0.01 0.09 81 0.81
Total 1.00 4.36 22.54

Since the given distribution is the probability distribution of a discrete random variable "X", Σ p = 1.

From the probability distribution:

Expected (Mean) Number of cakes demanded per day
⇒ Expectation/Mean of the distribution
⇒ E (x) (Or) x = Σ px
= 4.36 (in hundreds)
= 436
Variance of the number of caked demanded per day
⇒ Variance of the distribution
⇒ var (x) = E (x2) − (E(x))2
⇒ var (x) = Σ px2 − (Σ px)2
= 22.54 − (4.36)2
= 22.54 − 19.0096
= 3.5304
Standard Deviation of the number of cakes demanded per day
⇒ standard deviation of the distribution
⇒ SD (x) = + Var (x)
⇒ SD (x) = + 3.5304
⇒ SD (x) = + 1.879

Credit : Vijayalakshmi Desu

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